000 02421nam a22002297a 4500
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008 220825b |||||||| |||| 00| 0 eng d
020 _a9781541675711
082 _a001.4226
_bPAG
100 _aPage, Scott E.
245 _aThe model thinker :
_bwhat you need to know to make data work for you
_cScott E. Page
260 _aNew York:
_bBasic Books,
_c2021
300 _axv, 445 pages :
_billustrations (black and white) ;
_c21 cm
505 _tThe many-model thinker
_tWhy model?
_tThe science of many models
_tModeling human actors
_tNormal distributions : the bell curve
_tPower-law distributions : long tails
_tLinear models
_tConcavity and convexity
_tModels of value and power
_tNetwork models
_tBroadcast, diffusion, and contagion
_tEntropy : modeling uncertainty
_tRandom walks
_tPath dependence
_tLocal interaction models
_tLyapunov functions and equilibria
_tMarkov models
_tSystems dynamics models
_tThreshold models with feedbacks
_tSpatial and hedonic choice
_tGame theory models times three
_tModels of cooperation
_tCollective action problems
_tMechanism design
_tSignaling models
_tModels of learning
_tMulti-armed bandit problems
_tRugged-landscape models
_tOpioids, inequality, and humility
520 _aFrom the stock market to genomics laboratories, census figures to marketing email blasts, we are awash with data. But as anyone who has ever opened up a spreadsheet packed with seemingly infinite lines of data knows, numbers aren't enough: we need to know how to make those numbers talk. In The Model Thinker, social scientist Scott E. Page shows us the mathematical, statistical, and computational models--from linear regression to random walks and far beyond--that can turn anyone into a genius. At the core of the book is Page's "many-model paradigm," which shows the reader how to apply multiple models to organize the data, leading to wiser choices, more accurate predictions, and more robust designs. The Model Thinker provides a toolkit for business people, students, scientists, pollsters, and bloggers to make them better, clearer thinkers, able to leverage data and information to their advantage.
650 _aSocial sciences--Mathematical models
650 _aSocial systems--Mathematical models
650 _aComplexity (Philosophy)
650 _aInformation visualization
650 _aData mining
942 _2ddc
_cBK
999 _c1748
_d1748